Top 500 Daniel Kahneman Quotes (2025 Update)
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201. “When everybody in a group is susceptible to similar biases, groups are inferior to individuals, because groups tend to be more extreme than individuals.”

— Daniel Kahneman

202. “Intuitive predictions need to be corrected because they are not regressive and therefore are biased.”

— Daniel Kahneman

203. “We were sufficiently similar to understand each other easily, and sufficiently different to surprise each other. We.”

— Daniel Kahneman

204. “Psychologists really aim to be scientists, white-coat stuff, with elaborate statistics, running experiments.”

— Daniel Kahneman

205. “After a crisis we tell ourselves we understand why it happened and maintain the illusion that the world is understandable. In fact, we should accept the world is incomprehensible much of the time.”

— Daniel Kahneman

206. “Groups tend to be more extreme than individuals.”

— Daniel Kahneman

207. “The average investor’s return is significantly lower than market indices due primarily to market timing.”

— Daniel Kahneman

208. “Not all illusions are visual. There are illusions of thought, which we call cognitive illusions.”

— Daniel Kahneman

209. “The effects of high optimism on decision making are, at best, a mixed blessing, but the contribution of optimism to good implementation is certainly positive. The main benefit of optimism is resilience in the face of setbacks.”

— Daniel Kahneman

210. “The illusion that one has understood the past feeds the further illusion that one can predict and control the future. These illusions are comforting. They reduce the anxiety that we would experience if we allowed ourselves to fully acknowledge the uncertainties of existence.”

— Daniel Kahneman

211. “We know that people can maintain an unshakable faith in any proposition, however absurd, when they are sustained by a community of like-minded believers.”

— Daniel Kahneman

212. “You should expect little or nothing from Wall Street stock pickers who hope to be more accurate than the market in predicting the future of prices. And you should not expect much from pundits making long-term forecasts.”

— Daniel Kahneman

213. “The classic experiment I describe next shows that people will not draw from base-rate information an inference that conflicts with other beliefs. It also supports the uncomfortable conclusion that teaching psychology is mostly a waste of time.”

— Daniel Kahneman

214. “System 1 is gullible and biased to believe, System 2 is in charge of doubting and unbelieving, but System 2 is sometimes busy, and often lazy.”

— Daniel Kahneman

215. “The pleasure we found in working together made us exceptionally patient; it is much easier to strive for perfection when you are never bored.”

— Daniel Kahneman

216. “Adaptation seems to be, to a substantial extent, a process of reallocating your attention.”

— Daniel Kahneman

217. “As in many other games, moving first is an advantage in single-issue negotiations – for example, when price is the only issue to be settled between a buyer and a seller. As you may have experienced when negotiating for the first time in a bazaar, the initial anchor has a powerful effect. My.”

— Daniel Kahneman

218. “It’s very easy for trusted companies to mislead naive customers, and life insurance companies are trusted.”

— Daniel Kahneman

219. “We must be inclined to believe it because it has been repeated so often, but let’s think it through again.”

— Daniel Kahneman

220. “Remember this rule: intuition cannot be trusted in the absence of stable regularities in the environment.”

— Daniel Kahneman

221. “Jumping to conclusions is efficient if the conclusions are likely to be correct and the costs of an occasional mistake acceptable, and if the jump saves much time and effort.”

— Daniel Kahneman

222. “Many ideas happen to us. We have intuition, we have feeling, we have emotion, all of that happens, we don’t decide to do it. We don’t control it.”

— Daniel Kahneman

223. “The experiments showed further that the mean filial regression towards mediocrity was directly proportional to the parental deviation from it.”

— Daniel Kahneman

224. “The essence of the focusing illusion is WYSIATI, giving too much weight to the climate, too little to all the other determinants of well-being.”

— Daniel Kahneman

225. “Judgment can therefore be described as measurement in which the instrument is a human mind.”

— Daniel Kahneman

226. “Framing effects: Different ways of presenting the same information often evoke different emotions. The statement that “the odds of survival one month after surgery are 90%” is more reassuring than the equivalent statement that “mortality within one month of surgery is 10%.” Similarly, cold.”

— Daniel Kahneman

227. “Policy makers, like most people, normally feel that they already know all the psychology and all the sociology they are likely to need for their decisions. I don’t think they are right, but that’s the way it is.”

— Daniel Kahneman

228. “A large portion of the weekend effects is explained by differences in the amount of time spent with friends or family between weekends and weekdays.”

— Daniel Kahneman

229. “The remembering self’s neglect of duration, its exaggerated emphasis on peaks and ends, and its susceptibility to hindsight combine to yield distorted reflections of our actual experience.”

— Daniel Kahneman

230. “People tend to assess the relative importance of issues by the ease with which they are retrieved from memory – and this is largely determined by the extent of coverage in the media. Frequently mentioned topics populate the mind even as others slip away from awareness.”

— Daniel Kahneman

231. “You build the best possible story from the information available to you, and if it is a good story, you believe it. Paradoxically, it is easier to construct a coherent story when you know little, when there are fewer pieces to fit into the puzzle. Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.”

— Daniel Kahneman

232. “Widespread fears, even if they are unreasonable, should not be ignored by policy makers. Rational or not, fear is painful and debilitating, and policy makers must endeavor to protect the public from fear, not only from real dangers.”

— Daniel Kahneman

233. “The neglect of duration combined with the peak-end rule causes a bias that favors a short period of intense joy over a long period of moderate happiness.”

— Daniel Kahneman

234. “Alternative descriptions of the same reality evoke different emotions and different associations.”

— Daniel Kahneman

235. “This should not come as a surprise: overly optimistic forecasts of the outcome of projects are found everywhere. Amos and I coined the term planning fallacy to describe plans and forecasts that are unrealistically close to best-case scenarios could be improved by consulting the statistics of similar cases Examples of the planning fallacy abound in the experiences of individuals, governments, and businesses.”

— Daniel Kahneman

236. “One study found that people who just thought about watching their favorite movie actually raised their endorphin levels by 27 percent.”

— Daniel Kahneman

237. “The illusion that one has understood the past feeds the further illusion that one can predict and control the future. These illusions are comforting. They reduce the anxiety that we would experience if we allowed ourselves to fully acknowledge the uncertainties of existence. We all have a need for the reassuring message that actions have appropriate consequences, and that success will reward wisdom and courage. Many business books are tailor-made to satisfy this need.”

— Daniel Kahneman

238. “The effort invested in ‘getting it right’ should be commensurate with the importance of the decision.”

— Daniel Kahneman

239. “The emotional tail wags the rational dog.” The affect heuristic simplifies our lives by creating a world that is much tidier than reality.”

— Daniel Kahneman

240. “Errors in the initial budget are not always innocent. The authors of unrealistic plans are often driven by the desire to get the plan approved – whether by their superiors or by a client – supported by the knowledge that projects are rarely abandoned unfinished merely because of overruns in costs or completion times. In.”

— Daniel Kahneman

241. “Question: So investors shouldn’t delude themselves about beating the market? Answer: “They’re just not going to do it. It’s just not going to happen.””

— Daniel Kahneman

242. “I used to hold a unitary view, in which I proposed that only experienced happiness matters, and that life satisfaction is a fallible estimate of true happiness.”

— Daniel Kahneman

243. “Managers think of themselves as captains of a ship on a stormy sea. Risk for them is danger, but they are fighting it, very controlled.”

— Daniel Kahneman

244. “You like or dislike people long before you know much about them; you trust or distrust strangers without knowing why; you feel that an enterprise is bound to succeed without analyzing it. Whether you state them or not, you often have answers to questions that you do not completely understand, relying on evidence that you can neither explain nor defend.”

— Daniel Kahneman

245. “One emphasis of my research has been on the question of how people spend their time. Time is the ultimate finite resource, or course, so the question of how people spend it would seem to be important.”

— Daniel Kahneman

246. “A divorce is like a symphony with a screeching sound at the end – the fact that it ended badly does not mean it was all bad.”

— Daniel Kahneman

247. “Anything that makes it easier for the associative machine to run smoothly will also bias beliefs. A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition, because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth. Authoritarian institutions and marketers have always known this fact. But.”

— Daniel Kahneman

248. “This set of choices has a lot to tell us about the limits of human rationality. For one thing, it helps us see the logical consistency of Human preferences for what it is – a hopeless mirage.”

— Daniel Kahneman

249. “We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events. Overconfidence is fed by the illusory certainty of hindsight.”

— Daniel Kahneman

250. “Even statisticians were not good intuitive statisticians.”

— Daniel Kahneman